Lei Jun’s Startup Strategy: Confronting Risk with a $100 Million Stop-Loss Rule
Lei Jun’s Startup Strategy shows a unique approach to risk management. In 2010, Xiaomi’s founder faced a billion-dollar startup gamble. By setting a $1B “stop-loss rule,” Lei Jun turned high risk into a disciplined growth strategy.
In 2010, Lei Jun, already a highly accomplished entrepreneur and investor, decided to embark on a new startup venture. Before him lay what seemed like an impossible challenge: to build a smartphone company in a landscape dominated behemoths like Apple, Samsung, and Huawei. It was undoubtedly a tremendous gamble.
Yet, Lei Jun’s unique approach to managing startup risk and potential failure not only led to the rise of Xiaomi but also delivered a masterclass for entrepreneurs worldwide.

Lei Jun’s Startup Strategy 1: Sober Assessment – Confronting Risk Openly
“If we fail, we lose everything.” This was Lei Jun’s candid admission to his close friend Liu Qin, a partner at Morningside Capital. Rather than downplaying the challenges due to his past successes, Lei Jun spent extensive time discussing the immense risks involved in this new startup with Liu Qin. They were acutely aware that the smartphone industry was “capital-intensive and R&D-heavy,” and that every competitor was a “giant.” This profound respect for risk, rather than blind optimism, was the first step in Lei Jun’s startup strategy for navigating uncertainty.

Lei Jun’s Startup Strategy 2: The “Stop-Loss” Mindset – installing a Safety Valve for Ambition
Amid tremendous uncertainty, Lei Jun established a rational psychological boundary for himself—a clear “stop-loss line.”
As documented in the book Go Ahead with All Your Heart, he even set a specific number in his mind: “$100 million. If the company showed no progress after burning through this amount, he would ‘quietly’ shut it down.”
This was not a lack of confidence but an extremely pragmatic risk management strategy. This stop-loss line served as a “psychological safety net,” enabling Lei Jun to fully commit to pursuing the “$10 billion business” while avoiding being crushed by the fear of losing everything should he fail.
Lei Jun’s Startup Strategy 3:The “Charge Forward” Philosophy – mastering Rhythm Amid Fear
Lei Jun often went skiing with Liu Qin and would always advise him: “Don’t be afraid, charge forward, control your rhythm.” He believed that when facing a steep slope (metaphorically representing a high-risk startup environment), human instinct is to lean back out of fear, but “the more you lean back, the more likely you are to fall. On the slope, you have no choice but to ski down.”
This philosophy perfectly reflected his approach to entrepreneurship: the greatest risk is not daring to act due to fear. Only by confronting fear, precisely “controlling the rhythm,” and decisively “charging forward” can one navigate through risk and reach the goal.

Lei Jun’s Startup Strategy 4:leveraging Mega-Trends to Hedge Risk – seizing a Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunity
For Lei Jun, the most effective way to mitigate risk was to be utterly convinced of the scale of the opportunity at hand. He firmly believed that “opportunity and trends are the key factors for success,” outweighing sheer hard work. In 2010, he identified the convergence of mobile internet, smartphones, and mature Chinese supply chains as a once-in-a-century “$10 billion opportunity.”
It was this absolute confidence in mega-trends that gave him the courage to bet his entire reputation and resources, using a colossal opportunity to hedge against immense risk. This marked his ultimate leap from angel investor to founder of Xiaomi.
Conclusion
What Lei Jun established for Xiaomi was not merely a financial stop-loss line but also a mental defense mechanism for entrepreneurs. His experience teaches us that true adventurers are not recklessly bold individuals but “rational optimists” who deeply understand risk, set boundaries in advance, and charge forward resolutely because they see the future clearly. This is the core code that enabled Xiaomi to navigate risks and continue moving forward.
Lei Jun’s startup strategy isn’t just about Xiaomi. It’s a masterclass in startup risk management—setting boundaries, moving forward with confidence, and leveraging mega trends.
Source & Recommended Reading
The insights and narratives in this article are derived from “Go Ahead with All Your Heart: Lei Jun’s First Decade with Xiaomi” by Fan Haitao. This authoritative biography is the definitive account of how Lei Jun founded Xiaomi and the principles behind his success.
Read Lei Jun’s biography → Click here